By Cai Ordinario, August 4, 2020; Business Mirror
Even before the pandemic, the Duterte administration’s progress in meeting its Philippine Development Plan (PDP) was not enough to meet its targets by 2022, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).
Based on the Statistical Indicators on Philippine Development (StatDev), the PSA said the government only had a medium chance of meeting all its PDP targets by 2022.
Of the 210 targets, the PSA said 91 targets may not be achieved and 23 had only a medium probability of being met. The PSA said 96 targets, however, have a high probability of being achieved.
“It [StatDev] aims to serve as an early warning measure by showing the likelihood of achieving the economic and social development goals set forth in the Philippine Development Plan, including the midterm updates. Thus, the StatDev framework is necessarily congruent with the current PDP and is revised each time a new plan is formulated.”
The PSA said it computed the likelihood of achieving the PDP targets using the tracking method used in monitoring the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
Based on this computation, those targets with a score of over 0.9 would have a high chance of being attained and thus, likely to be achieved.
However, targets with a score of between 0.5 and 0.9 only had a medium chance of being met by 2022. This means they may or may not be achieved at the end of Duterte’s term.
Of the 13 chapters of the PDP, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries had the most number of indicators at 60. More than half or 34 of these targets have a low probability of being achieved.
PSA data said another six targets have only a medium chance of being achieved, while 20 targets have a high probability of being met by 2022.
This was followed by infrastructure (27 targets); only one of them had a medium probability of being met.
The PSA said 18 of these targets have a high probability of being met and eight targets, a low probability.
This was followed by human capital development, with a total of 23 targets. More than half or 12 of these had a low chance of being met.
Data showed seven of the targets have a high chance of being achieved; four targets only had a medium probability.
The PSA said, however, that owing to the limitation in data submissions this year amid the community quarantine forced by Covid-19, the results presented in this report are only preliminary. “An updated version of the StatDev 2019 report with sectoral performance and infographics will follow later within the year,” the PSA said.
The updated StatDev will cover results from the submission of updated/latest data for the remaining 32 percent of the indicators, including those with concerns for verification with the data sources, it added.